Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Charlton Athletic beat Manchester City with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 27 (before the first match) against those on May 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | Europa League | 21.1% | 90.7% | +69.7 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 38.3% | 94.2% | +56.0 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 7.4% | 56.3% | +48.9 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 48.7% | 95.5% | +46.8 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 2.6% | 43.4% | +40.9 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 31.4% | 1.0% | −30.5 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 28.8% | 0% | −28.8 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 27.4% | 0% | −27.3 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 26.9% | 0% | −26.9 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 35.8% | 9.0% | −26.8 |
