Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coventry City beat Everton with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 23 (before the first match) against those on December 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 55.9% | 71.1% | +15.2 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 59.7% | 48.7% | −11.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 43.0% | 32.0% | −11.0 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 15.2% | 25.4% | +10.1 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 36.8% | 26.9% | −9.9 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 40.9% | 31.4% | −9.5 |
| Everton | Relegation | 13.2% | 22.4% | +9.3 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 18.2% | 10.4% | −7.8 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 85.3% | 92.3% | +7.0 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 24.8% | 18.5% | −6.3 |
