Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Leeds United with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 18 (before the first match) against those on December 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 69.6% | 55.9% | −13.7 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 47.8% | 34.8% | −12.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 31.3% | 43.0% | +11.6 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 28.7% | 36.8% | +8.1 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 14.5% | 6.7% | −7.8 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 76.0% | 83.1% | +7.2 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 78.2% | 85.3% | +7.0 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 21.6% | 14.7% | −6.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 18.5% | 24.8% | +6.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 15.4% | 9.1% | −6.3 |
