Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Liverpool beat Manchester United with a 16.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 10 (before the first match) against those on December 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 53.5% | 42.1% | −11.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 20.6% | 31.3% | +10.7 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 56.9% | 47.8% | −9.1 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 49.0% | 57.0% | +7.9 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 19.3% | 12.3% | −7.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 82.7% | 76.0% | −6.8 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 15.5% | 21.6% | +6.1 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 9.7% | 15.4% | +5.7 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 18.0% | 12.7% | −5.3 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 15.2% | 10.0% | −5.2 |
