Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ipswich Town beat Liverpool with a 16.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 4 (before the first match) against those on December 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Relegation | 43.1% | 28.3% | −14.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 59.4% | 72.7% | +13.3 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 44.1% | 56.9% | +12.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 32.4% | 20.6% | −11.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 42.8% | 53.5% | +10.7 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 58.4% | 49.0% | −9.4 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 32.2% | 23.9% | −8.3 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 8.1% | 15.5% | +7.3 |
| Ipswich Town | Europa League | 14.3% | 20.1% | +5.7 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 14.3% | 19.3% | +5.0 |
