Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Derby County beat Ipswich Town with a 15.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 26 (before the first match) against those on December 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County | Relegation | 59.3% | 44.1% | −15.3 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 23.3% | 32.2% | +8.9 |
| Ipswich Town | Champions League | 16.6% | 8.1% | −8.4 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 17.0% | 8.8% | −8.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 24.5% | 32.4% | +8.0 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 50.8% | 58.4% | +7.6 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 78.4% | 71.8% | −6.6 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 37.4% | 42.8% | +5.4 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 23.2% | 18.2% | −5.0 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 15.5% | 20.0% | +4.5 |
