Osasuna
Osasuna sits 9th in the table, with 11 points from 9 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 2.0%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between <0.1% and 32.6%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (3.6%), Conference League (7.9%), and Relegation (4.0%). Next match: against Sevilla, away, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Conference League to 10.0%; a loss, to 5.3%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | <0.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| 10/19/2026 | <0.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| 10/18/2026 | <0.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| 10/17/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 35.8% |
| 10/16/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 38.5% |
| 10/12/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 38.2% |
| 10/11/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 37.7% |
| 10/10/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 19.4% |
| 10/09/2026 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 22.2% |
| 09/20/2026 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 21.3% |
| 09/19/2026 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 24.5% |
| 09/18/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 26.2% |
| 09/17/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 21.3% |
| 09/16/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 23.0% |
| 09/15/2026 | 0.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 10.3% |
| 09/14/2026 | 0.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 8.6% |
| 09/13/2026 | 0.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 9.1% |
| 09/12/2026 | 0.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 9.8% |
| 09/11/2026 | 1.3% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| 09/07/2026 | 1.1% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| 09/06/2026 | 1.1% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| 09/05/2026 | 5.3% | 32.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 0.8% |
| 09/04/2026 | 5.6% | 32.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 0.8% |
| 09/03/2026 | 3.9% | 32.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 1.0% |
| 08/31/2026 | 4.1% | 31.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 1.0% |
| 08/30/2026 | 1.5% | 16.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| 08/29/2026 | 2.0% | 17.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| 08/28/2026 | 1.6% | 14.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| 08/27/2026 | 1.5% | 16.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| 08/26/2026 | 0.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 9.6% |
| 08/25/2026 | 0.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 10.4% |
| 08/24/2026 | 0.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 10.8% |
| 08/23/2026 | 1.4% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.9% |
| 08/22/2026 | 1.1% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.6% |
| 08/21/2026 | 1.1% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 9.7% |
| 08/20/2026 | 1.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 9.4% |
| 08/19/2026 | 1.2% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 10.7% |
| 08/17/2026 | 1.3% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 11.3% |
| 08/16/2026 | 1.2% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 10.9% |
| 08/15/2026 | 1.6% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 12.4% |
| 08/14/2026 | 1.5% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 11.6% |
What the next match is worth
Osasuna's chance of each objective depending on the result against Sevilla
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference League | 7.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Relegation | 4.0% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% |
| Europa League | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Champions League | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
