Trend — Europa League
Europa League probability over time
Real Sociedad leads the race for Europa League, at 15.6%. 17 teams still in contention have a 1% chance or more. Biggest riser over the last 5 updates: Celta Vigo (+4.4 pp). Biggest faller: Athletic Club (−3.6 pp).
Recent movement
| Team | Now | 5 updates ago | Change (pp) | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 15.6% | 13.4% | +2.2 | 15.9% |
| Real Betis | 14.6% | 10.6% | +4.0 | 15.0% |
| Real Madrid | 9.7% | 11.7% | −2.0 | 12.1% |
| Celta Vigo | 8.4% | 4.0% | +4.4 | 8.4% |
| Sevilla | 8.0% | 11.3% | −3.2 | 12.3% |
| Atlético Madrid | 7.7% | 9.4% | −1.6 | 12.3% |
| Rayo Vallecano | 5.0% | 5.4% | −0.4 | 5.9% |
| Osasuna | 4.6% | 1.1% | +3.5 | 9.4% |
| Athletic Club | 4.1% | 7.7% | −3.6 | 8.1% |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 3.8% | 3.4% | +0.3 | 9.2% |
| Levante | 3.5% | 1.4% | +2.1 | 6.6% |
| Villarreal | 3.2% | 3.7% | −0.5 | 6.4% |
| Deportivo Alavés | 2.6% | 4.3% | −1.7 | 9.2% |
| Getafe | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0 | 6.5% |
| Barcelona | 2.0% | 3.0% | −1.0 | 8.6% |
| Elche | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.0 | 5.0% |
| Espanyol | 1.2% | 2.2% | −1.0 | 8.1% |
| Racing Santander | 0.9% | 2.1% | −1.2 | 6.7% |
| Valencia | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0 | 5.7% |
| Málaga | 0.2% | 0.3% | −0.1 | 5.7% |
Europa League: the last team in should finish with about 60 points (57 to 64 in 80% of simulations). That spot is held today by Real Sociedad, 5th, with 16.
Current ranking
1
Real Sociedad15.6%2
Real Betis14.6%3
Real Madrid9.7%4
Celta Vigo8.4%5
Sevilla8.0%6
Atlético Madrid7.7%7
Rayo Vallecano5.0%8
Osasuna4.6%9
Athletic Club4.1%10
Deportivo La Coruña3.8%11
Levante3.5%12
Villarreal3.2%13
Deportivo Alavés2.6%14
Getafe2.2%15
Barcelona2.0%16
Elche1.9%17
Espanyol1.2%18
Racing Santander0.9%19
Valencia0.9%20
Málaga0.2%
Real Sociedad15.6%2Real Betis14.6%3Real Madrid9.7%4Celta Vigo8.4%5Sevilla8.0%6Atlético Madrid7.7%7Rayo Vallecano5.0%8Osasuna4.6%9Athletic Club4.1%10Deportivo La Coruña3.8%11Levante3.5%12Villarreal3.2%13Deportivo Alavés2.6%14Getafe2.2%15Barcelona2.0%16Elche1.9%17Espanyol1.2%18Racing Santander0.9%19Valencia0.9%20Málaga0.2%Trend
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