Athletic Club
Athletic Club sits 15th in the table, with 9 points from 8 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 4.4%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has fallen by 7.3 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 1.9% and 25.9%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (4.1%), Conference League (5.6%), and Relegation (11.3%). Next match: against Getafe, at home, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 7.5%; a loss, to 16.4%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | 0.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 11.3% |
| 10/19/2026 | 0.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| 10/18/2026 | 0.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% |
| 10/17/2026 | 0.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| 10/16/2026 | 0.5% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| 10/12/2026 | 0.6% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| 10/11/2026 | 0.5% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| 10/10/2026 | 0.6% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| 10/09/2026 | 0.9% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
| 09/20/2026 | 1.1% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.7% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| 09/18/2026 | 1.2% | 15.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| 09/17/2026 | 1.2% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| 09/16/2026 | 1.4% | 17.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| 09/15/2026 | 1.9% | 16.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| 09/14/2026 | 2.0% | 17.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| 09/13/2026 | 2.6% | 18.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| 09/12/2026 | 2.4% | 17.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| 09/11/2026 | 4.5% | 24.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| 09/07/2026 | 4.4% | 25.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| 09/06/2026 | 4.7% | 25.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| 09/05/2026 | 4.4% | 24.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| 09/04/2026 | 1.5% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 11.1% |
| 09/03/2026 | 1.5% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 12.0% |
| 08/31/2026 | 1.4% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 10.1% |
| 08/30/2026 | 1.5% | 11.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 11.8% |
| 08/29/2026 | 0.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 41.2% |
| 08/28/2026 | 0.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 38.2% |
| 08/27/2026 | 0.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 38.4% |
| 08/26/2026 | 0.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 24.7% |
| 08/25/2026 | 0.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 25.7% |
| 08/24/2026 | 0.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 26.4% |
| 08/23/2026 | 0.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 27.7% |
| 08/22/2026 | 0.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 28.0% |
| 08/21/2026 | 4.4% | 20.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 11.4% |
| 08/20/2026 | 4.6% | 20.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 12.4% |
| 08/19/2026 | 4.2% | 19.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 12.3% |
| 08/17/2026 | 5.0% | 20.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 12.6% |
| 08/16/2026 | 4.5% | 19.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 12.6% |
| 08/15/2026 | 4.8% | 19.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 13.9% |
What the next match is worth
Athletic Club's chance of each objective depending on the result against Getafe
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 11.3% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 16.4% |
| Champions League | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Conference League | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% |
| Europa League | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
