Trend — Champions League
Champions League probability over time
Barcelona leads the race for Champions League, at 96.0%. 16 teams still in contention have a 1% chance or more. Biggest riser over the last 5 updates: Real Sociedad (+14.7 pp). Biggest faller: Real Betis (−21.4 pp).
Recent movement
| Team | Now | 5 updates ago | Change (pp) | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 96.0% | 93.5% | +2.5 | 96.9% |
| Atlético Madrid | 83.5% | 75.8% | +7.6 | 85.8% |
| Real Madrid | 74.7% | 62.7% | +12.1 | 74.9% |
| Real Betis | 47.6% | 69.0% | −21.4 | 69.4% |
| Real Sociedad | 44.8% | 30.1% | +14.7 | 44.8% |
| Celta Vigo | 10.6% | 4.6% | +6.0 | 21.3% |
| Sevilla | 9.8% | 20.9% | −11.2 | 58.0% |
| Rayo Vallecano | 5.2% | 7.2% | −2.0 | 11.3% |
| Osasuna | 5.2% | 0.9% | +4.3 | 41.2% |
| Athletic Club | 4.4% | 11.7% | −7.3 | 25.9% |
| Levante | 3.5% | 1.8% | +1.7 | 19.8% |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 3.5% | 3.7% | −0.2 | 39.0% |
| Villarreal | 3.0% | 4.2% | −1.2 | 18.8% |
| Deportivo Alavés | 2.4% | 4.7% | −2.3 | 58.8% |
| Getafe | 1.9% | 2.5% | −0.5 | 21.9% |
| Elche | 1.4% | 1.7% | −0.3 | 19.5% |
| Espanyol | 0.9% | 2.1% | −1.1 | 43.1% |
| Racing Santander | 0.8% | 2.1% | −1.2 | 19.3% |
| Valencia | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0 | 19.9% |
| Málaga | 0.1% | 0.2% | −0.1 | 20.2% |
Champions League: the last team in should finish with about 63 points (59 to 67 in 80% of simulations). That spot is held today by Real Betis, 4th, with 19.
Current ranking
1
Barcelona96.0%2
Atlético Madrid83.5%3
Real Madrid74.7%4
Real Betis47.6%5
Real Sociedad44.8%6
Celta Vigo10.6%7
Sevilla9.8%8
Rayo Vallecano5.2%9
Osasuna5.2%10
Athletic Club4.4%11
Levante3.5%12
Deportivo La Coruña3.5%13
Villarreal3.0%14
Deportivo Alavés2.4%15
Getafe1.9%16
Elche1.4%17
Espanyol0.9%18
Racing Santander0.8%19
Valencia0.6%20
Málaga0.1%
Barcelona96.0%2Atlético Madrid83.5%3Real Madrid74.7%4Real Betis47.6%5Real Sociedad44.8%6Celta Vigo10.6%7Sevilla9.8%8Rayo Vallecano5.2%9Osasuna5.2%10Athletic Club4.4%11Levante3.5%12Deportivo La Coruña3.5%13Villarreal3.0%14Deportivo Alavés2.4%15Getafe1.9%16Elche1.4%17Espanyol0.9%18Racing Santander0.8%19Valencia0.6%20Málaga0.1%Trend
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