Elche
Elche sits 18th in the table, with 7 points from 9 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 1.4%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 0.3% and 19.5%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (1.9%), Conference League (2.9%), and Relegation (22.3%). Next match: against Rayo Vallecano, away, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 16.4%; a loss, to 27.9%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
Click zones to show or hide. Drag the bottom bar to zoom.
Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | <0.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 22.3% |
| 10/19/2026 | <0.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 22.3% |
| 10/18/2026 | <0.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 22.0% |
| 10/17/2026 | <0.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 23.7% |
| 10/16/2026 | <0.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 22.8% |
| 10/12/2026 | <0.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 23.6% |
| 10/11/2026 | <0.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 23.8% |
| 10/10/2026 | <0.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 23.1% |
| 10/09/2026 | 0.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 25.1% |
| 09/20/2026 | 0.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 24.7% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 25.7% |
| 09/18/2026 | 0.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 25.0% |
| 09/17/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 56.2% |
| 09/16/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 56.5% |
| 09/15/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 59.4% |
| 09/14/2026 | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 41.9% |
| 09/13/2026 | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 44.3% |
| 09/12/2026 | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 45.5% |
| 09/11/2026 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 50.5% |
| 09/07/2026 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 51.5% |
| 09/06/2026 | 0.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 39.3% |
| 09/05/2026 | 0.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 40.6% |
| 09/04/2026 | 0.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 40.6% |
| 09/03/2026 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 40.4% |
| 08/31/2026 | 0.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 40.5% |
| 08/30/2026 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 42.7% |
| 08/29/2026 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 44.6% |
| 08/28/2026 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 42.0% |
| 08/27/2026 | 0.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 27.8% |
| 08/26/2026 | 0.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 28.4% |
| 08/25/2026 | 0.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 29.3% |
| 08/24/2026 | 0.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 31.1% |
| 08/23/2026 | 0.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 31.3% |
| 08/22/2026 | 2.6% | 14.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 13.8% |
| 08/21/2026 | 2.8% | 15.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 15.5% |
| 08/20/2026 | 2.9% | 15.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 15.1% |
| 08/19/2026 | 2.8% | 14.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 15.6% |
| 08/17/2026 | 3.0% | 14.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 16.5% |
| 08/16/2026 | 4.2% | 18.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 13.9% |
| 08/15/2026 | 4.5% | 19.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 13.9% |
What the next match is worth
Elche's chance of each objective depending on the result against Rayo Vallecano
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 22.3% | 16.4% | 23.9% | 27.9% |
| Conference League | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Champions League | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Europa League | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
