Sevilla
Sevilla sits 6th in the table, with 14 points from 9 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 9.8%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has fallen by 11.2 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 9.5% and 58.0%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (8.0%), Conference League (9.3%), and Relegation (4.2%). Next match: against Osasuna, at home, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Champions League to 13.3%; a loss, to 7.0%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | 0.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| 10/19/2026 | 0.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| 10/18/2026 | 0.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| 10/17/2026 | 1.1% | 23.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 1.8% |
| 10/16/2026 | 1.3% | 21.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 1.6% |
| 10/12/2026 | 1.2% | 20.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 1.9% |
| 10/11/2026 | 1.8% | 26.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 1.3% |
| 10/10/2026 | 2.1% | 28.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 1.6% |
| 10/09/2026 | 2.9% | 30.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| 09/20/2026 | 2.8% | 30.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| 09/19/2026 | 3.0% | 29.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 1.7% |
| 09/18/2026 | 9.1% | 49.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 0.4% |
| 09/17/2026 | 9.2% | 49.2% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 0.4% |
| 09/16/2026 | 9.9% | 52.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 0.4% |
| 09/15/2026 | 5.9% | 35.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 1.6% |
| 09/14/2026 | 6.2% | 34.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 1.1% |
| 09/13/2026 | 6.6% | 35.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 1.0% |
| 09/12/2026 | 7.4% | 35.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| 09/11/2026 | 6.9% | 34.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 1.5% |
| 09/07/2026 | 3.0% | 19.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| 09/06/2026 | 3.1% | 20.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| 09/05/2026 | 4.8% | 25.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| 09/04/2026 | 4.9% | 24.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| 09/03/2026 | 4.3% | 24.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| 08/31/2026 | 4.3% | 23.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| 08/30/2026 | 4.9% | 25.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| 08/29/2026 | 5.5% | 26.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| 08/28/2026 | 15.9% | 52.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 0.6% |
| 08/27/2026 | 17.7% | 53.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 0.9% |
| 08/26/2026 | 18.5% | 55.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| 08/25/2026 | 20.0% | 56.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| 08/24/2026 | 22.4% | 58.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| 08/23/2026 | 21.8% | 56.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| 08/22/2026 | 22.2% | 57.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| 08/21/2026 | 12.7% | 39.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| 08/20/2026 | 12.3% | 40.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| 08/19/2026 | 11.9% | 38.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| 08/17/2026 | 11.9% | 39.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| 08/16/2026 | 12.5% | 38.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| 08/15/2026 | 12.5% | 38.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
What the next match is worth
Sevilla's chance of each objective depending on the result against Osasuna
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 9.8% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% |
| Europa League | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Relegation | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% |
| Conference League | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
