Trend — Relegation
Relegation probability over time
Málaga leads the race for Relegation, at 62.9%. 15 teams still in contention have a 1% chance or more. Biggest riser over the last 5 updates: Racing Santander (+11.2 pp). Biggest faller: Osasuna (−20.4 pp).
Recent movement
| Team | Now | 5 updates ago | Change (pp) | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | 62.9% | 53.2% | +9.7 | 63.5% |
| Valencia | 35.1% | 36.3% | −1.2 | 63.9% |
| Racing Santander | 33.5% | 22.3% | +11.2 | 33.5% |
| Espanyol | 29.9% | 21.7% | +8.2 | 31.1% |
| Elche | 22.3% | 23.6% | −1.3 | 59.4% |
| Getafe | 18.9% | 19.3% | −0.4 | 34.8% |
| Deportivo Alavés | 17.5% | 10.9% | +6.5 | 17.7% |
| Villarreal | 13.8% | 13.0% | +0.9 | 49.0% |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 12.9% | 13.0% | −0.1 | 17.0% |
| Levante | 12.9% | 26.5% | −13.6 | 33.2% |
| Athletic Club | 11.3% | 5.8% | +5.5 | 41.2% |
| Rayo Vallecano | 10.1% | 8.9% | +1.2 | 37.0% |
| Osasuna | 9.8% | 30.2% | −20.4 | 30.7% |
| Sevilla | 4.2% | 1.9% | +2.4 | 5.1% |
| Celta Vigo | 4.1% | 12.0% | −7.9 | 40.2% |
| Real Betis | 0.3% | 0.1% | +0.3 | 14.0% |
| Real Sociedad | 0.3% | 1.1% | −0.8 | 41.2% |
| Real Madrid | <0.1% | 0.1% | −0.1 | 14.0% |
| Barcelona | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 13.8% |
| Atlético Madrid | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0 | 14.1% |
Relegation: the first team out should finish with about 42 points (39 to 44 in 80% of simulations). That spot is held today by Racing Santander, 17th, with 8.
Current ranking
1
Málaga62.9%2
Valencia35.1%3
Racing Santander33.5%4
Espanyol29.9%5
Elche22.3%6
Getafe18.9%7
Deportivo Alavés17.5%8
Villarreal13.8%9
Deportivo La Coruña12.9%10
Levante12.9%11
Athletic Club11.3%12
Rayo Vallecano10.1%13
Osasuna9.8%14
Sevilla4.2%15
Celta Vigo4.1%16
Real Betis0.3%17
Real Sociedad0.3%18
Real Madrid<0.1%19
Barcelona<0.1%20
Atlético Madrid<0.1%
Málaga62.9%2Valencia35.1%3Racing Santander33.5%4Espanyol29.9%5Elche22.3%6Getafe18.9%7Deportivo Alavés17.5%8Villarreal13.8%9Deportivo La Coruña12.9%10Levante12.9%11Athletic Club11.3%12Rayo Vallecano10.1%13Osasuna9.8%14Sevilla4.2%15Celta Vigo4.1%16Real Betis0.3%17Real Sociedad0.3%18Real Madrid<0.1%19Barcelona<0.1%20Atlético Madrid<0.1%Trend
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