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Trend — Relegation

Relegation probability over time

América-MG leads the race for Relegation, at 100%. 2 teams have already secured it. 6 teams still in contention have a 1% chance or more. Biggest riser over the last 5 updates: Avaí (+14.8 pp). Biggest faller: Botafogo-SP (−9.6 pp).

Recent movement

TeamNow5 updates agoChange (pp)Peak
América-MG100%>99.9%0.0>99.9%
Ponte Preta100%>99.9%0.0>99.9%
Londrina99.7%99.8%−0.1>99.9%
Avaí82.6%67.9%+14.885.1%
Náutico8.5%10.3%−1.840.5%
Ceará4.5%4.7%−0.264.3%
Athletic2.8%6.0%−3.223.9%
Botafogo-SP1.5%11.1%−9.659.5%
São Bernardo0.3%0.2%+0.132.2%
Cuiabá0.1%<0.1%0.040.1%
Operário-PR<0.1%<0.1%0.021.5%
Vila Nova0%<0.1%0.022.4%
Novorizontino0%<0.1%0.035.9%
Juventude0%<0.1%0.047.1%
Fortaleza0%<0.1%0.038.2%
Criciúma0%<0.1%0.017.5%
Atlético-GO0%<0.1%0.060.0%
CRB0%<0.1%0.075.5%
Sport0%<0.1%0.023.0%
Goiás<0.1%<0.1%0.044.3%

Relegation: the first team out should finish with about 46 points (44 to 48 in 80% of simulations). That spot is held today by Ceará, 16th, with 43.

Trend

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