Criciúma
Criciúma sits 5th in the table, with 59 points from 34 matches. The main open race is Champion: 8.8%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has risen by 6.4 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 1.1% and 58.3%. Other objectives with a real chance: Promotion (63.0%). Next match: against Sport, away, in round 35. A win takes the chance of Promotion to 81.9%; a loss, to 48.4%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Promotion | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/20/2026 | 8.8% | 63.0% | <0.1% |
| 10/19/2026 | 8.9% | 64.2% | <0.1% |
| 10/18/2026 | 9.2% | 63.1% | <0.1% |
| 10/17/2026 | 2.5% | 36.6% | <0.1% |
| 10/16/2026 | 2.1% | 37.8% | <0.1% |
| 10/13/2026 | 2.4% | 43.8% | <0.1% |
| 10/12/2026 | 2.6% | 42.6% | <0.1% |
| 10/11/2026 | 1.1% | 25.8% | <0.1% |
| 10/08/2026 | 1.3% | 26.0% | <0.1% |
| 10/07/2026 | 5.0% | 47.4% | <0.1% |
| 10/06/2026 | 5.7% | 48.6% | <0.1% |
| 10/03/2026 | 6.0% | 49.3% | <0.1% |
| 10/02/2026 | 7.6% | 52.0% | <0.1% |
| 10/01/2026 | 4.3% | 32.5% | <0.1% |
| 09/29/2026 | 4.6% | 35.0% | <0.1% |
| 09/28/2026 | 3.8% | 33.6% | <0.1% |
| 09/27/2026 | 4.9% | 36.2% | <0.1% |
| 09/26/2026 | 1.3% | 17.4% | <0.1% |
| 09/25/2026 | 1.1% | 16.4% | <0.1% |
| 09/22/2026 | 1.6% | 16.5% | <0.1% |
| 09/20/2026 | 4.2% | 31.1% | <0.1% |
| 09/19/2026 | 5.2% | 31.0% | <0.1% |
| 09/18/2026 | 3.9% | 28.1% | <0.1% |
| 09/16/2026 | 3.9% | 28.5% | <0.1% |
| 09/15/2026 | 4.1% | 30.4% | <0.1% |
| 09/14/2026 | 3.6% | 28.0% | <0.1% |
| 09/13/2026 | 3.3% | 28.0% | <0.1% |
| 09/11/2026 | 5.2% | 39.1% | <0.1% |
| 09/10/2026 | 5.1% | 40.5% | <0.1% |
| 09/09/2026 | 6.1% | 45.9% | <0.1% |
| 09/08/2026 | 20.9% | 68.0% | <0.1% |
| 09/06/2026 | 19.5% | 67.4% | <0.1% |
| 09/05/2026 | 20.2% | 68.6% | <0.1% |
| 09/04/2026 | 21.9% | 72.1% | <0.1% |
| 09/03/2026 | 9.0% | 47.6% | <0.1% |
| 09/01/2026 | 8.7% | 47.6% | <0.1% |
| 08/31/2026 | 7.7% | 46.1% | <0.1% |
| 08/30/2026 | 7.3% | 45.2% | <0.1% |
| 08/29/2026 | 16.0% | 66.0% | <0.1% |
| 08/28/2026 | 16.5% | 67.9% | <0.1% |
| 08/25/2026 | 16.9% | 66.8% | <0.1% |
| 08/24/2026 | 19.2% | 66.9% | <0.1% |
| 08/23/2026 | 21.6% | 70.1% | <0.1% |
| 08/22/2026 | 37.6% | 85.2% | <0.1% |
| 08/20/2026 | 36.6% | 84.1% | <0.1% |
| 08/19/2026 | 44.1% | 88.9% | <0.1% |
| 08/18/2026 | 50.9% | 89.2% | <0.1% |
| 08/16/2026 | 50.3% | 88.8% | <0.1% |
| 08/15/2026 | 50.0% | 87.9% | <0.1% |
| 08/14/2026 | 32.6% | 76.7% | <0.1% |
| 08/11/2026 | 33.3% | 77.2% | <0.1% |
| 08/10/2026 | 33.7% | 77.9% | <0.1% |
| 08/09/2026 | 34.0% | 79.4% | <0.1% |
| 08/08/2026 | 52.6% | 89.0% | <0.1% |
| 08/07/2026 | 52.6% | 89.3% | <0.1% |
| 07/29/2026 | 48.8% | 87.7% | <0.1% |
| 07/28/2026 | 51.4% | 88.7% | <0.1% |
| 07/27/2026 | 54.0% | 89.6% | <0.1% |
| 07/26/2026 | 47.0% | 89.3% | <0.1% |
| 07/24/2026 | 58.3% | 93.4% | <0.1% |
| 07/23/2026 | 55.9% | 92.9% | <0.1% |
| 07/22/2026 | 54.7% | 93.2% | <0.1% |
| 07/21/2026 | 57.6% | 93.9% | <0.1% |
| 07/18/2026 | 47.6% | 88.0% | <0.1% |
| 07/17/2026 | 33.9% | 79.3% | <0.1% |
| 07/16/2026 | 34.7% | 80.3% | <0.1% |
| 07/13/2026 | 35.9% | 80.0% | <0.1% |
| 07/12/2026 | 35.8% | 79.8% | <0.1% |
| 07/10/2026 | 31.3% | 75.6% | <0.1% |
| 07/08/2026 | 29.5% | 75.6% | <0.1% |
| 07/07/2026 | 22.9% | 66.0% | <0.1% |
| 07/06/2026 | 24.1% | 67.3% | <0.1% |
| 07/05/2026 | 25.6% | 68.8% | 0.1% |
| 07/04/2026 | 24.6% | 66.9% | 0.1% |
| 07/03/2026 | 20.2% | 58.2% | 0.1% |
| 07/02/2026 | 21.0% | 59.5% | 0.2% |
| 06/30/2026 | 21.6% | 60.5% | 0.1% |
| 06/28/2026 | 21.0% | 60.1% | 0.1% |
| 06/27/2026 | 21.9% | 62.7% | 0.2% |
| 06/26/2026 | 14.6% | 50.2% | 0.8% |
| 06/25/2026 | 13.9% | 50.0% | 0.7% |
| 06/23/2026 | 13.0% | 48.3% | 0.8% |
| 06/22/2026 | 6.9% | 34.0% | 2.3% |
| 06/21/2026 | 7.8% | 35.6% | 2.6% |
| 06/20/2026 | 6.5% | 33.6% | 2.6% |
| 06/19/2026 | 7.4% | 33.6% | 2.0% |
| 06/16/2026 | 7.4% | 31.9% | 2.3% |
| 06/14/2026 | 10.3% | 39.4% | 1.0% |
| 06/12/2026 | 6.9% | 33.9% | 0.7% |
| 06/11/2026 | 6.9% | 33.6% | 0.7% |
| 06/10/2026 | 6.0% | 32.3% | 0.8% |
| 06/09/2026 | 6.4% | 34.0% | 0.8% |
| 06/08/2026 | 6.6% | 34.3% | 0.8% |
| 06/07/2026 | 7.4% | 35.2% | 0.8% |
| 06/06/2026 | 8.3% | 37.2% | 1.0% |
| 06/05/2026 | 4.1% | 24.0% | 2.8% |
| 06/01/2026 | 4.3% | 23.9% | 3.0% |
| 05/31/2026 | 4.0% | 22.8% | 3.0% |
| 05/30/2026 | 3.7% | 23.0% | 3.0% |
| 05/25/2026 | 1.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% |
| 05/24/2026 | 1.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% |
| 05/23/2026 | 2.4% | 16.2% | 9.0% |
| 05/22/2026 | 3.1% | 16.8% | 9.8% |
| 05/18/2026 | 3.2% | 18.3% | 10.4% |
| 05/17/2026 | 3.1% | 17.8% | 10.0% |
| 05/16/2026 | 3.6% | 20.9% | 7.9% |
| 05/12/2026 | 3.3% | 20.3% | 8.3% |
| 05/10/2026 | 3.7% | 20.7% | 8.5% |
| 05/09/2026 | 5.3% | 26.3% | 6.8% |
| 05/04/2026 | 5.0% | 24.4% | 6.3% |
| 05/03/2026 | 5.1% | 24.6% | 6.7% |
| 05/02/2026 | 4.6% | 24.0% | 7.4% |
| 04/27/2026 | 7.4% | 30.4% | 6.1% |
| 04/26/2026 | 7.6% | 30.6% | 5.6% |
| 04/25/2026 | 2.8% | 15.1% | 15.9% |
| 04/24/2026 | 2.6% | 15.3% | 16.5% |
| 04/23/2026 | 3.1% | 16.0% | 16.0% |
| 04/19/2026 | 2.8% | 15.7% | 16.3% |
| 04/18/2026 | 7.1% | 30.1% | 7.0% |
| 04/12/2026 | 7.7% | 30.4% | 6.9% |
| 04/11/2026 | 8.3% | 30.4% | 6.4% |
| 04/10/2026 | 7.3% | 30.4% | 5.5% |
| 04/07/2026 | 2.4% | 14.1% | 16.7% |
| 04/05/2026 | 7.7% | 30.5% | 6.5% |
| 04/04/2026 | 5.4% | 27.2% | 6.5% |
| 04/02/2026 | 6.1% | 29.3% | 7.2% |
| 04/01/2026 | 12.1% | 41.4% | 4.0% |
| 03/31/2026 | 11.0% | 38.9% | 5.0% |
| 03/22/2026 | 11.9% | 39.4% | 5.0% |
| 03/21/2026 | 5.3% | 20.7% | 17.5% |
What the next match is worth
Criciúma's chance of each objective depending on the result against Sport
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promotion | 63.0% | 81.9% | 57.1% | 48.4% |
| Champion | 8.8% | 16.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
