Avaí
Avaí sits 17th in the table, with 37 points from 34 matches. The main open race is Relegation: 82.6%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has risen by 14.8 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 1.3% and 85.1%. Next match: against Botafogo-SP, at home, in round 35. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 67.5%; a loss, to 92.8%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
Click zones to show or hide. Drag the bottom bar to zoom.
Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Promotion | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/20/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 82.6% |
| 10/19/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 82.9% |
| 10/18/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 82.6% |
| 10/17/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 69.6% |
| 10/16/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 67.8% |
| 10/13/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 67.9% |
| 10/12/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 59.1% |
| 10/11/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 58.4% |
| 10/08/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 79.2% |
| 10/07/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 78.4% |
| 10/06/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 84.2% |
| 10/03/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 85.1% |
| 10/02/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 79.5% |
| 10/01/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 80.5% |
| 09/29/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 80.8% |
| 09/28/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 70.2% |
| 09/27/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 72.0% |
| 09/26/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 61.8% |
| 09/25/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 59.8% |
| 09/22/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 63.3% |
| 09/20/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 64.9% |
| 09/19/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 56.4% |
| 09/18/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 55.4% |
| 09/16/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 50.6% |
| 09/15/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 51.3% |
| 09/14/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 43.7% |
| 09/13/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 44.8% |
| 09/11/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 44.3% |
| 09/10/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 43.7% |
| 09/09/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 46.4% |
| 09/08/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 37.1% |
| 09/06/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 37.3% |
| 09/05/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 34.8% |
| 09/04/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 19.6% |
| 09/03/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 18.3% |
| 09/01/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 20.8% |
| 08/31/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 19.3% |
| 08/30/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 19.9% |
| 08/29/2026 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 11.8% |
| 08/28/2026 | <0.1% | 1.8% | 12.4% |
| 08/25/2026 | 0.1% | 2.3% | 12.6% |
| 08/24/2026 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 12.5% |
| 08/23/2026 | 0.1% | 2.3% | 13.3% |
| 08/22/2026 | 0.1% | 1.1% | 22.8% |
| 08/20/2026 | <0.1% | 1.0% | 20.0% |
| 08/19/2026 | 0.1% | 1.1% | 20.2% |
| 08/18/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 35.6% |
| 08/16/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 36.6% |
| 08/15/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 58.3% |
| 08/14/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 60.0% |
| 08/11/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 61.1% |
| 08/10/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 46.8% |
| 08/09/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 48.4% |
| 08/08/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 49.3% |
| 08/07/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 46.5% |
| 07/29/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 41.3% |
| 07/28/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 41.8% |
| 07/27/2026 | 0.1% | 1.4% | 28.3% |
| 07/26/2026 | <0.1% | 1.2% | 28.3% |
| 07/24/2026 | <0.1% | 1.2% | 26.8% |
| 07/23/2026 | <0.1% | 1.2% | 25.4% |
| 07/22/2026 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 23.8% |
| 07/21/2026 | <0.1% | 1.2% | 25.7% |
| 07/18/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 45.2% |
| 07/17/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 45.2% |
| 07/16/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 42.1% |
| 07/13/2026 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 43.7% |
| 07/12/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 43.0% |
| 07/10/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 68.9% |
| 07/08/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 70.8% |
| 07/07/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 69.9% |
| 07/06/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 70.3% |
| 07/05/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 58.9% |
| 07/04/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 58.7% |
| 07/03/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 61.1% |
| 07/02/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 61.0% |
| 06/30/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 60.2% |
| 06/28/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 60.1% |
| 06/27/2026 | 0.1% | 0.9% | 47.4% |
| 06/26/2026 | <0.1% | 0.8% | 48.6% |
| 06/25/2026 | <0.1% | 1.0% | 49.7% |
| 06/23/2026 | 0.1% | 0.8% | 49.7% |
| 06/22/2026 | 0.1% | 0.9% | 49.8% |
| 06/21/2026 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 52.2% |
| 06/20/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 82.4% |
| 06/19/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 80.1% |
| 06/16/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 80.4% |
| 06/14/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 67.5% |
| 06/12/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 63.5% |
| 06/11/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 63.7% |
| 06/10/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 64.4% |
| 06/09/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 52.7% |
| 06/08/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 53.2% |
| 06/07/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 55.6% |
| 06/06/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 54.5% |
| 06/05/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 56.1% |
| 06/01/2026 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 57.0% |
| 05/31/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 56.7% |
| 05/30/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 56.0% |
| 05/25/2026 | 0.1% | 1.3% | 43.8% |
| 05/24/2026 | 0.1% | 1.0% | 43.8% |
| 05/23/2026 | 0.3% | 3.2% | 33.5% |
| 05/22/2026 | 0.4% | 3.7% | 36.8% |
| 05/18/2026 | 0.4% | 3.5% | 37.0% |
| 05/17/2026 | 0.4% | 3.6% | 36.0% |
| 05/16/2026 | 1.0% | 8.3% | 21.2% |
| 05/12/2026 | 0.9% | 7.5% | 23.3% |
| 05/10/2026 | 1.1% | 7.9% | 22.3% |
| 05/09/2026 | 1.0% | 8.0% | 23.5% |
| 05/04/2026 | 1.1% | 8.5% | 22.7% |
| 05/03/2026 | 0.9% | 8.0% | 22.6% |
| 05/02/2026 | 1.2% | 8.4% | 23.3% |
| 04/27/2026 | 1.2% | 8.4% | 24.1% |
| 04/26/2026 | 1.3% | 8.6% | 23.0% |
| 04/25/2026 | 3.3% | 17.0% | 14.6% |
| 04/24/2026 | 2.9% | 16.9% | 14.4% |
| 04/23/2026 | 3.2% | 17.1% | 15.0% |
| 04/19/2026 | 3.3% | 17.3% | 14.4% |
| 04/18/2026 | 2.8% | 16.1% | 15.0% |
| 04/12/2026 | 8.7% | 34.1% | 5.2% |
| 04/11/2026 | 9.5% | 35.4% | 4.8% |
| 04/10/2026 | 13.2% | 43.1% | 3.1% |
| 04/07/2026 | 13.1% | 42.7% | 3.1% |
| 04/05/2026 | 13.4% | 42.7% | 3.2% |
| 04/04/2026 | 18.4% | 53.0% | 1.4% |
| 04/02/2026 | 20.8% | 57.9% | 1.3% |
| 04/01/2026 | 11.6% | 39.0% | 4.0% |
| 03/31/2026 | 11.1% | 38.7% | 4.8% |
| 03/22/2026 | 11.4% | 38.5% | 5.1% |
| 03/21/2026 | 5.2% | 20.6% | 17.6% |
What the next match is worth
Avaí's chance of each objective depending on the result against Botafogo-SP
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 82.6% | 67.5% | 87.6% | 92.8% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
