Náutico
Náutico sits 15th in the table, with 43 points from 34 matches. The main open race is Relegation: 8.5%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 0.2% and 40.5%. Next match: against Juventude, away, in round 35. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 1.8%; a loss, to 13.7%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Promotion | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/20/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 8.5% |
| 10/19/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 7.9% |
| 10/18/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 8.3% |
| 10/17/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 10.5% |
| 10/16/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 11.3% |
| 10/13/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 10.3% |
| 10/12/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 9.1% |
| 10/11/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 9.4% |
| 10/08/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 2.1% |
| 10/07/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% |
| 10/06/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 10/03/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 10/02/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| 10/01/2026 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| 09/29/2026 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 09/28/2026 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 09/27/2026 | <0.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 09/26/2026 | <0.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 09/25/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 3.1% |
| 09/22/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 3.8% |
| 09/20/2026 | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% |
| 09/18/2026 | <0.1% | 1.0% | 2.8% |
| 09/16/2026 | 0.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% |
| 09/15/2026 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% |
| 09/14/2026 | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| 09/13/2026 | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| 09/11/2026 | 0.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| 09/10/2026 | <0.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| 09/09/2026 | 0.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| 09/08/2026 | 0.6% | 8.2% | 0.9% |
| 09/06/2026 | 0.5% | 7.9% | 0.8% |
| 09/05/2026 | 0.5% | 7.6% | 0.6% |
| 09/04/2026 | 0.6% | 9.3% | 0.6% |
| 09/03/2026 | 0.5% | 8.4% | 0.7% |
| 09/01/2026 | 0.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| 08/31/2026 | 0.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| 08/30/2026 | 0.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| 08/29/2026 | 0.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| 08/28/2026 | 0.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| 08/25/2026 | <0.1% | 2.2% | 11.2% |
| 08/24/2026 | 0.1% | 2.3% | 12.1% |
| 08/23/2026 | 0.1% | 2.7% | 11.9% |
| 08/22/2026 | 0.1% | 4.1% | 9.0% |
| 08/20/2026 | 0.1% | 3.7% | 7.6% |
| 08/19/2026 | 0.1% | 3.9% | 7.9% |
| 08/18/2026 | 0.1% | 1.4% | 19.6% |
| 08/16/2026 | 0.1% | 1.5% | 19.0% |
| 08/15/2026 | <0.1% | 1.3% | 15.7% |
| 08/14/2026 | <0.1% | 1.3% | 15.9% |
| 08/11/2026 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 15.1% |
| 08/10/2026 | 0.1% | 1.9% | 18.8% |
| 08/09/2026 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 19.4% |
| 08/08/2026 | 0.1% | 2.5% | 18.1% |
| 08/07/2026 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 17.1% |
| 07/29/2026 | 0.1% | 2.3% | 14.8% |
| 07/28/2026 | 0.1% | 2.5% | 14.8% |
| 07/27/2026 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 16.6% |
| 07/26/2026 | 0.1% | 2.2% | 16.6% |
| 07/24/2026 | 0.1% | 2.9% | 14.6% |
| 07/23/2026 | 0.1% | 2.8% | 13.8% |
| 07/22/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 39.0% |
| 07/21/2026 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 40.2% |
| 07/18/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 37.6% |
| 07/17/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 38.6% |
| 07/16/2026 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 40.5% |
| 07/13/2026 | 0.1% | 1.4% | 28.0% |
| 07/12/2026 | <0.1% | 1.3% | 28.6% |
| 07/10/2026 | 0.1% | 2.3% | 16.4% |
| 07/08/2026 | 0.2% | 2.3% | 16.2% |
| 07/07/2026 | 0.2% | 2.5% | 16.1% |
| 07/06/2026 | 0.2% | 2.5% | 17.2% |
| 07/05/2026 | 0.2% | 3.1% | 16.6% |
| 07/04/2026 | 0.1% | 2.9% | 17.4% |
| 07/03/2026 | 0.2% | 3.5% | 18.5% |
| 07/02/2026 | 0.4% | 3.6% | 18.9% |
| 06/30/2026 | 0.3% | 3.9% | 18.2% |
| 06/28/2026 | 0.3% | 3.8% | 18.6% |
| 06/27/2026 | 1.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% |
| 06/26/2026 | 1.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
| 06/25/2026 | 1.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% |
| 06/23/2026 | 1.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% |
| 06/22/2026 | 1.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% |
| 06/21/2026 | 1.1% | 10.6% | 12.3% |
| 06/20/2026 | 1.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% |
| 06/19/2026 | 3.6% | 19.6% | 4.9% |
| 06/16/2026 | 3.0% | 18.7% | 5.6% |
| 06/14/2026 | 2.7% | 18.0% | 3.9% |
| 06/12/2026 | 2.6% | 17.3% | 2.4% |
| 06/11/2026 | 2.4% | 18.4% | 2.8% |
| 06/10/2026 | 2.3% | 16.7% | 2.6% |
| 06/09/2026 | 2.5% | 16.8% | 2.8% |
| 06/08/2026 | 6.5% | 34.7% | 1.0% |
| 06/07/2026 | 7.3% | 36.2% | 0.8% |
| 06/06/2026 | 7.9% | 35.6% | 1.2% |
| 06/05/2026 | 8.7% | 37.5% | 0.9% |
| 06/01/2026 | 8.8% | 38.3% | 1.3% |
| 05/31/2026 | 8.7% | 37.9% | 1.0% |
| 05/30/2026 | 8.0% | 36.3% | 1.2% |
| 05/25/2026 | 17.9% | 56.6% | 0.3% |
| 05/24/2026 | 19.1% | 57.8% | 0.3% |
| 05/23/2026 | 23.0% | 62.9% | 0.5% |
| 05/22/2026 | 26.8% | 65.6% | 0.6% |
| 05/18/2026 | 18.5% | 53.0% | 1.5% |
| 05/17/2026 | 18.3% | 54.4% | 1.1% |
| 05/16/2026 | 15.7% | 50.9% | 1.2% |
| 05/12/2026 | 7.3% | 34.1% | 3.9% |
| 05/10/2026 | 8.5% | 35.1% | 3.6% |
| 05/09/2026 | 3.5% | 20.0% | 10.1% |
| 05/04/2026 | 3.7% | 20.3% | 9.6% |
| 05/03/2026 | 3.4% | 18.6% | 9.1% |
| 05/02/2026 | 3.8% | 19.5% | 8.9% |
| 04/27/2026 | 5.4% | 23.8% | 8.1% |
| 04/26/2026 | 2.0% | 10.4% | 22.1% |
| 04/25/2026 | 1.3% | 9.7% | 24.7% |
| 04/24/2026 | 1.4% | 9.5% | 24.4% |
| 04/23/2026 | 1.3% | 9.7% | 24.3% |
| 04/19/2026 | 1.4% | 9.5% | 24.2% |
| 04/18/2026 | 1.3% | 9.1% | 24.9% |
| 04/12/2026 | 3.9% | 19.5% | 11.6% |
| 04/11/2026 | 3.9% | 20.7% | 11.6% |
| 04/10/2026 | 11.3% | 38.5% | 3.7% |
| 04/07/2026 | 11.0% | 38.7% | 3.7% |
| 04/05/2026 | 11.9% | 39.4% | 3.5% |
| 04/04/2026 | 8.2% | 35.2% | 3.4% |
| 04/02/2026 | 4.2% | 22.7% | 9.9% |
| 04/01/2026 | 4.5% | 22.5% | 10.9% |
| 03/31/2026 | 0.8% | 6.4% | 34.0% |
| 03/22/2026 | 0.9% | 6.1% | 35.7% |
| 03/21/2026 | 5.0% | 20.8% | 17.2% |
What the next match is worth
Náutico's chance of each objective depending on the result against Juventude
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 8.5% | 1.8% | 8.2% | 13.7% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
