Ceará
Ceará sits 16th in the table, with 43 points from 34 matches. The main open race is Relegation: 4.5%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 0.9% and 64.3%. Next match: against Goiás, at home, in round 35. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 0.7%; a loss, to 9.3%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Promotion | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/20/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 4.5% |
| 10/19/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 4.7% |
| 10/18/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 4.8% |
| 10/17/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 5.3% |
| 10/16/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 5.2% |
| 10/13/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 4.7% |
| 10/12/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.7% |
| 10/11/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.8% |
| 10/08/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.9% |
| 10/07/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 3.7% |
| 10/06/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.5% |
| 10/03/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.3% |
| 10/02/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 8.7% |
| 10/01/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 10.0% |
| 09/29/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 10.4% |
| 09/28/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 7.9% |
| 09/27/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 7.7% |
| 09/26/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 9.6% |
| 09/25/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 8.2% |
| 09/22/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 10.0% |
| 09/20/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 9.6% |
| 09/19/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 14.7% |
| 09/18/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 14.7% |
| 09/16/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 31.4% |
| 09/15/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 31.6% |
| 09/14/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 28.1% |
| 09/13/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 30.1% |
| 09/11/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 27.8% |
| 09/10/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 28.5% |
| 09/09/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 16.1% |
| 09/08/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 22.4% |
| 09/06/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 21.9% |
| 09/05/2026 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 20.1% |
| 09/04/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 42.3% |
| 09/03/2026 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 39.5% |
| 09/01/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 42.4% |
| 08/31/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 41.4% |
| 08/30/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 42.4% |
| 08/29/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 30.8% |
| 08/28/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 31.6% |
| 08/25/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 32.6% |
| 08/24/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 32.5% |
| 08/23/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 33.5% |
| 08/22/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 31.8% |
| 08/20/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 53.0% |
| 08/19/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 53.2% |
| 08/18/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 33.2% |
| 08/16/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 33.2% |
| 08/15/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 28.9% |
| 08/14/2026 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 14.7% |
| 08/11/2026 | 0.1% | 1.9% | 15.8% |
| 08/10/2026 | 0.1% | 2.3% | 17.8% |
| 08/09/2026 | 0.1% | 2.4% | 19.5% |
| 08/08/2026 | 0.1% | 2.2% | 18.9% |
| 08/07/2026 | <0.1% | 2.0% | 18.5% |
| 07/29/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 31.6% |
| 07/28/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 32.9% |
| 07/27/2026 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 35.7% |
| 07/26/2026 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 36.0% |
| 07/24/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 64.3% |
| 07/23/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 63.0% |
| 07/22/2026 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 62.2% |
| 07/21/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 47.0% |
| 07/18/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 44.7% |
| 07/17/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 45.5% |
| 07/16/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 48.7% |
| 07/13/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 46.9% |
| 07/12/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 49.9% |
| 07/10/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 46.8% |
| 07/08/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 46.8% |
| 07/07/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 48.1% |
| 07/06/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 49.0% |
| 07/05/2026 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 49.4% |
| 07/04/2026 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 48.6% |
| 07/03/2026 | <0.1% | 0.9% | 38.5% |
| 07/02/2026 | <0.1% | 1.0% | 38.3% |
| 06/30/2026 | 0.1% | 0.9% | 38.9% |
| 06/28/2026 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 39.3% |
| 06/27/2026 | 0.2% | 3.4% | 25.2% |
| 06/26/2026 | 0.2% | 3.6% | 25.5% |
| 06/25/2026 | 0.3% | 3.7% | 25.9% |
| 06/23/2026 | 0.4% | 3.3% | 27.0% |
| 06/22/2026 | 0.3% | 3.4% | 27.4% |
| 06/21/2026 | 0.2% | 4.0% | 27.7% |
| 06/20/2026 | 0.2% | 3.4% | 25.1% |
| 06/19/2026 | 1.0% | 8.7% | 12.6% |
| 06/16/2026 | 1.0% | 8.6% | 12.5% |
| 06/14/2026 | 1.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% |
| 06/12/2026 | 0.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| 06/11/2026 | 0.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| 06/10/2026 | 0.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% |
| 06/09/2026 | 0.1% | 2.4% | 20.4% |
| 06/08/2026 | 0.2% | 2.5% | 21.5% |
| 06/07/2026 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 22.6% |
| 06/06/2026 | 0.1% | 2.7% | 23.1% |
| 06/05/2026 | 0.4% | 3.0% | 23.5% |
| 06/01/2026 | 0.2% | 3.2% | 23.8% |
| 05/31/2026 | 0.3% | 2.9% | 24.0% |
| 05/30/2026 | 0.8% | 6.5% | 13.7% |
| 05/25/2026 | 0.7% | 7.0% | 14.0% |
| 05/24/2026 | 0.5% | 7.2% | 13.2% |
| 05/23/2026 | 1.0% | 8.1% | 15.9% |
| 05/22/2026 | 3.3% | 19.3% | 8.5% |
| 05/18/2026 | 3.7% | 20.0% | 9.2% |
| 05/17/2026 | 3.6% | 20.8% | 8.2% |
| 05/16/2026 | 0.7% | 6.2% | 24.5% |
| 05/12/2026 | 0.6% | 6.4% | 24.7% |
| 05/10/2026 | 0.6% | 6.7% | 26.7% |
| 05/09/2026 | 1.0% | 6.3% | 26.8% |
| 05/04/2026 | 2.2% | 13.9% | 14.1% |
| 05/03/2026 | 1.9% | 13.5% | 13.3% |
| 05/02/2026 | 6.1% | 27.7% | 6.2% |
| 04/27/2026 | 7.0% | 28.7% | 6.6% |
| 04/26/2026 | 6.1% | 27.0% | 7.0% |
| 04/25/2026 | 9.7% | 37.1% | 5.0% |
| 04/24/2026 | 9.6% | 36.3% | 4.7% |
| 04/23/2026 | 9.6% | 36.8% | 5.0% |
| 04/19/2026 | 9.4% | 35.7% | 4.9% |
| 04/18/2026 | 14.4% | 45.1% | 3.4% |
| 04/12/2026 | 14.1% | 43.4% | 3.2% |
| 04/11/2026 | 15.4% | 46.7% | 2.8% |
| 04/10/2026 | 7.1% | 28.7% | 7.0% |
| 04/07/2026 | 7.5% | 29.2% | 6.6% |
| 04/05/2026 | 6.9% | 28.7% | 6.9% |
| 04/04/2026 | 4.6% | 24.4% | 6.8% |
| 04/02/2026 | 1.7% | 11.4% | 20.0% |
| 04/01/2026 | 2.3% | 14.2% | 18.4% |
| 03/31/2026 | 2.3% | 13.9% | 20.1% |
| 03/22/2026 | 2.2% | 13.5% | 20.6% |
| 03/21/2026 | 3.2% | 15.3% | 23.4% |
What the next match is worth
Ceará's chance of each objective depending on the result against Goiás
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 4.5% | 0.7% | 4.6% | 9.3% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
