Trend — Relegation
Relegation probability over time
América-MG leads the race for Relegation, at 100%. 2 teams have already secured it. 6 teams still in contention have a 1% chance or more. Biggest riser over the last 5 updates: Avaí (+14.8 pp). Biggest faller: Botafogo-SP (−9.6 pp).
Recent movement
| Team | Now | 5 updates ago | Change (pp) | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | 100% | >99.9% | 0.0 | >99.9% |
| Ponte Preta | 100% | >99.9% | 0.0 | >99.9% |
| Londrina | 99.7% | 99.8% | −0.1 | >99.9% |
| Avaí | 82.6% | 67.9% | +14.8 | 85.1% |
| Náutico | 8.5% | 10.3% | −1.8 | 40.5% |
| Ceará | 4.5% | 4.7% | −0.2 | 64.3% |
| Athletic | 2.8% | 6.0% | −3.2 | 23.9% |
| Botafogo-SP | 1.5% | 11.1% | −9.6 | 59.5% |
| São Bernardo | 0.3% | 0.2% | +0.1 | 32.2% |
| Cuiabá | 0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 40.1% |
| Operário-PR | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 21.5% |
| Vila Nova | 0% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 22.4% |
| Novorizontino | 0% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 35.9% |
| Juventude | 0% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 47.1% |
| Fortaleza | 0% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 38.2% |
| Criciúma | 0% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 17.5% |
| Atlético-GO | 0% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 60.0% |
| CRB | 0% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 75.5% |
| Sport | 0% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 23.0% |
| Goiás | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 44.3% |
Relegation: the first team out should finish with about 46 points (44 to 48 in 80% of simulations). That spot is held today by Ceará, 16th, with 43.
Current ranking
Trend
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