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Trend — Promotion

Promotion probability over time

Vila Nova leads the race for Promotion, at 91.9%. 6 teams still in contention have a 1% chance or more. Biggest riser over the last 5 updates: Criciúma (+19.3 pp). Biggest faller: Atlético-GO (−8.1 pp).

Recent movement

TeamNow5 updates agoChange (pp)Peak
Vila Nova91.9%95.5%−3.596.9%
Juventude84.7%91.8%−7.194.5%
Novorizontino84.6%91.7%−7.191.7%
Fortaleza70.8%52.3%+18.576.9%
Criciúma63.0%43.8%+19.393.9%
Atlético-GO3.9%12.0%−8.143.8%
CRB1.0%8.1%−7.142.8%
Sport0.1%4.2%−4.064.6%
Goiás<0.1%0.5%−0.546.5%
Operário-PR<0.1%0.2%−0.273.7%
Cuiabá0%<0.1%0.030.6%
São Bernardo0%<0.1%0.067.0%
Botafogo-SP0%<0.1%0.058.3%
Athletic0%<0.1%0.039.9%
Náutico0%<0.1%0.065.6%
Ceará0%<0.1%0.046.7%
Avaí0%<0.1%0.057.9%
Londrina0%<0.1%0.040.4%
América-MG0%<0.1%0.021.0%
Ponte Preta0%<0.1%0.020.8%

Promotion: the last team in should finish with about 65 points (63 to 66 in 80% of simulations). That spot is held today by Fortaleza, 4th, with 60.

Trend

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