Round 5

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on April 12 (before the first match) against those on April 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Ponte PretaRelegation61.8%28.6%−33.1
CuiabáRelegation36.2%15.8%−20.4
FortalezaPromotion36.3%53.9%+17.6
Vila NovaPromotion42.4%59.9%+17.5
AthleticPromotion38.4%21.1%−17.3
NovorizontinoPromotion17.5%34.3%+16.8
AvaíPromotion34.1%17.3%−16.7
São BernardoPromotion8.5%24.3%+15.8
São BernardoRelegation24.4%9.7%−14.7
CriciúmaPromotion30.4%15.7%−14.6
Home 32.8%
Draw 26.8%
Away 40.4%
Home 41.4%
Draw 26.5%
Away 32.1%
Home 41.6%
Draw 26.4%
Away 32.0%
Home 47.7%
Draw 24.8%
Away 27.6%
Home 34.4%
Draw 27.4%
Away 38.2%
Home 38.7%
Draw 27.2%
Away 34.1%
Home 32.2%
Draw 26.5%
Away 41.3%
Home 43.1%
Draw 26.0%
Away 30.9%
Home 40.6%
Draw 26.7%
Away 32.7%
Home 36.9%
Draw 27.8%
Away 35.4%