Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 22 (before the first match) against those on September 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 48.8% | 18.8% | −30.0 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 16.5% | 35.0% | +18.5 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 63.3% | 80.8% | +17.6 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 56.0% | 72.5% | +16.5 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 73.3% | 88.4% | +15.1 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 63.6% | 48.5% | −15.1 |
| Operário-PR | Promotion | 39.0% | 24.2% | −14.8 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 22.2% | 36.3% | +14.1 |
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 76.5% | 62.5% | −14.0 |
| Fortaleza | Champion | 27.3% | 14.3% | −13.1 |