Round 30

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 22 (before the first match) against those on September 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Botafogo-SPRelegation48.8%18.8%−30.0
CriciúmaPromotion16.5%35.0%+18.5
AvaíRelegation63.3%80.8%+17.6
JuventudePromotion56.0%72.5%+16.5
LondrinaRelegation73.3%88.4%+15.1
NovorizontinoPromotion63.6%48.5%−15.1
Operário-PRPromotion39.0%24.2%−14.8
Atlético-GOPromotion22.2%36.3%+14.1
FortalezaPromotion76.5%62.5%−14.0
FortalezaChampion27.3%14.3%−13.1
Home 37.3%
Draw 27.6%
Away 35.1%
Home 43.9%
Draw 25.8%
Away 30.3%
Home 35.5%
Draw 27.8%
Away 36.7%
Home 40.5%
Draw 26.7%
Away 32.8%
Home 39.4%
Draw 27.0%
Away 33.5%
Home 37.9%
Draw 27.4%
Away 34.6%
Home 35.8%
Draw 27.9%
Away 36.2%
Home 43.5%
Draw 25.9%
Away 30.6%
Home 36.3%
Draw 27.9%
Away 35.8%
Home 36.0%
Draw 28.0%
Away 36.0%