Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 7 (before the first match) against those on July 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Relegation | 69.9% | 43.7% | −26.3 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 30.7% | 48.6% | +17.9 |
| Novorizontino | Promotion | 65.7% | 47.9% | −17.9 |
| Operário-PR | Promotion | 53.9% | 70.6% | +16.7 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 61.3% | 46.0% | −15.3 |
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 43.9% | 29.2% | −14.7 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 66.0% | 80.0% | +14.0 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 22.9% | 35.9% | +13.0 |
| Novorizontino | Champion | 22.3% | 10.0% | −12.3 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 16.1% | 28.0% | +11.9 |
