Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Remo beat Cruzeiro with a 24.1% chance and Londrina beat Confiança with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 23 (before the first match) against those on October 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina | Relegation | 72.2% | 45.9% | −26.3 |
| Confiança | Relegation | 60.8% | 84.1% | +23.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 36.2% | 16.8% | −19.4 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 29.6% | 48.5% | +18.9 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 21.3% | 6.5% | −14.8 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 5.8% | 19.4% | +13.6 |
| CSA | Promotion | 4.5% | 16.4% | +11.9 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 79.2% | 68.9% | −10.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 6.7% | 16.3% | +9.6 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 68.5% | 75.8% | +7.4 |
