Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Operário-PR beat CSA with a 16.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 17 (before the first match) against those on October 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brusque | Relegation | 12.2% | 49.3% | +37.1 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 59.3% | 81.6% | +22.3 |
| Operário-PR | Relegation | 27.1% | 9.6% | −17.5 |
| Confiança | Relegation | 74.1% | 59.6% | −14.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 28.6% | 15.1% | −13.5 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 82.4% | 69.4% | −13.0 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 33.8% | 46.5% | +12.8 |
| CSA | Promotion | 17.6% | 4.9% | −12.7 |
| Botafogo | Promotion | 80.6% | 92.6% | +12.0 |
| Goiás | Champion | 19.7% | 8.1% | −11.6 |
