Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Sampaio Corrêa with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 10 (before the first match) against those on October 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Promotion | 40.9% | 71.8% | +30.9 |
| CSA | Promotion | 33.8% | 17.6% | −16.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 12.8% | 28.6% | +15.7 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 74.6% | 59.3% | −15.2 |
| Goiás | Champion | 4.8% | 19.7% | +14.9 |
| Confiança | Relegation | 86.1% | 74.1% | −12.0 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 10.0% | 21.7% | +11.7 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 51.7% | 63.2% | +11.6 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 93.7% | 82.4% | −11.2 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 23.3% | 12.2% | −11.1 |
