Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sampaio Corrêa beat Vasco with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Promotion | 60.8% | 83.0% | +22.3 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 7.2% | 25.8% | +18.6 |
| CSA | Promotion | 15.5% | 33.8% | +18.3 |
| CRB | Promotion | 58.3% | 42.9% | −15.4 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 58.0% | 42.6% | −15.3 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 55.8% | 40.9% | −14.9 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 37.4% | 51.7% | +14.2 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 6.7% | 18.7% | +12.0 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 20.1% | 10.0% | −10.0 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 84.1% | 74.6% | −9.6 |
