Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 28 (before the first match) against those on August 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 33.9% | 12.8% | −21.1 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 46.6% | 67.2% | +20.6 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 27.4% | 46.2% | +18.8 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 76.4% | 57.8% | −18.6 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 32.4% | 15.2% | −17.2 |
| Náutico | Champion | 34.7% | 17.7% | −17.0 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 47.3% | 63.6% | +16.3 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 30.4% | 14.3% | −16.2 |
| Brusque | Promotion | 24.1% | 39.3% | +15.2 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 11.4% | 26.3% | +14.9 |
