Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Brusque with a 21.9% chance and Confiança beat Náutico with a 18.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 3 (before the first match) against those on August 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confiança | Relegation | 83.5% | 52.9% | −30.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 55.9% | 28.3% | −27.6 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 58.4% | 35.6% | −22.8 |
| Brusque | Promotion | 37.3% | 17.6% | −19.7 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 19.7% | 37.7% | +17.9 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 44.3% | 60.7% | +16.4 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 15.4% | 31.1% | +15.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 42.5% | 58.0% | +15.5 |
| CRB | Promotion | 39.1% | 54.0% | +14.9 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 15.0% | 28.3% | +13.3 |
