Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Londrina beat Remo with a 24.2% chance and Ponte Preta beat Goiás with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 22 (before the first match) against those on July 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 62.9% | 38.9% | −24.0 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 62.5% | 40.9% | −21.6 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 28.0% | 49.4% | +21.4 |
| CRB | Promotion | 27.9% | 48.7% | +20.8 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 15.2% | 33.2% | +18.0 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 48.0% | 30.2% | −17.8 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 32.8% | 15.4% | −17.3 |
| Confiança | Relegation | 59.7% | 76.9% | +17.2 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 62.5% | 46.2% | −16.3 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 43.5% | 28.4% | −15.1 |
