Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 18 (before the first match) against those on July 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina | Relegation | 67.0% | 38.6% | −28.4 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 60.8% | 32.9% | −27.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 42.5% | 59.2% | +16.7 |
| Brasil de Pelotas | Relegation | 29.5% | 45.9% | +16.4 |
| Brusque | Promotion | 14.0% | 29.7% | +15.7 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 65.9% | 80.9% | +15.1 |
| Náutico | Champion | 22.0% | 36.9% | +14.9 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 17.6% | 32.3% | +14.7 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 40.6% | 54.5% | +13.9 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 24.0% | 37.6% | +13.6 |
