Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Chapecoense with a 23.0% chance and Coritiba beat Palmeiras with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 22 (before the first match) against those on November 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 24.0% | 59.6% | +35.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 51.2% | 79.0% | +27.8 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 19.2% | <0.1% | −19.2 |
| Santos | Libertadores Second Round | 17.6% | 0% | −17.6 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 70.8% | 61.9% | −9.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 29.4% | 21.0% | −8.4 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 96.0% | 88.0% | −8.0 |
