Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Joinville with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 20 (before the first match) against those on November 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Relegation | 47.0% | 19.2% | −27.8 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 49.7% | 70.8% | +21.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 10.2% | 29.4% | +19.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores Second Round | 28.8% | 17.6% | −11.2 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 14.4% | 24.0% | +9.6 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 96.1% | 90.0% | −6.1 |
