Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Flamengo with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 29 (before the first match) against those on December 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 59.6% | 0% | −59.6 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 61.9% | 100% | +38.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 79.0% | 100% | +21.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 21.0% | 0% | −21.0 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 88.0% | 100% | +12.0 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 90.6% | 100% | +9.4 |
