Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Goiás with a 21.8% chance and Figueirense beat Ponte Preta with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 8 (before the first match) against those on November 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 58.6% | 93.4% | +34.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 20.3% | 52.4% | +32.1 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 70.2% | 47.0% | −23.1 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 32.9% | 14.4% | −18.5 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 84.1% | 97.5% | +13.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 12.3% | 2.5% | −9.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores Second Round | 38.4% | 28.8% | −9.6 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 86.5% | 96.1% | +9.6 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 58.8% | 49.7% | −9.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 10.0% | 1.1% | −8.8 |
