Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Fluminense with a 22.9% chance and Sport beat Palmeiras with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 18 (before the first match) against those on October 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Libertadores Second Round | 22.6% | 10.2% | −12.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 64.4% | 53.1% | −11.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 8.2% | 17.3% | +9.1 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 49.9% | 59.0% | +9.1 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 65.1% | 73.8% | +8.7 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 7.5% | 2.2% | −5.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 11.6% | 16.7% | +5.1 |
| Sport | Libertadores Second Round | 4.1% | 8.9% | +4.8 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 33.9% | 30.2% | −3.7 |
