Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat Flamengo with a 24.4% chance and Chapecoense beat Grêmio with a 18.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 16 (before the first match) against those on October 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 22.3% | 4.7% | −17.7 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 90.2% | 75.8% | −14.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 50.8% | 64.4% | +13.6 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 83.6% | 95.4% | +11.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 19.8% | 8.2% | −11.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 14.8% | 4.5% | −10.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 7.3% | 15.9% | +8.6 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores Second Round | 8.8% | 1.9% | −6.8 |
| Joinville | Relegation | 93.1% | 86.3% | −6.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 4.1% | 10.5% | +6.4 |
