Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Atletico-MG with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 25 (before the first match) against those on November 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 73.8% | 54.5% | −19.2 |
| Santos | Libertadores Second Round | 25.2% | 38.4% | +13.2 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 59.0% | 69.5% | +10.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 17.3% | 26.9% | +9.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 75.7% | 84.9% | +9.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 16.7% | 8.5% | −8.2 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores Second Round | 10.2% | 4.3% | −5.9 |
| Sport | Libertadores Second Round | 8.9% | 3.3% | −5.7 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 53.1% | 58.2% | +5.1 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 93.0% | 97.8% | +4.8 |
