Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ponte Preta beat Palmeiras with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 50.8% | 31.5% | −19.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 73.8% | 90.2% | +16.4 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 34.5% | 44.5% | +10.0 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 15.6% | 7.3% | −8.3 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 43.6% | 50.8% | +7.2 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 52.2% | 58.8% | +6.6 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 10.5% | 4.1% | −6.4 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 7.6% | 2.0% | −5.6 |
| Santos | Libertadores Second Round | 21.8% | 27.0% | +5.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores Second Round | 1.3% | 6.1% | +4.7 |
