Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Goiás with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 27 (before the first match) against those on October 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 73.9% | 50.8% | −23.2 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 42.4% | 23.0% | −19.3 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 33.9% | 52.2% | +18.4 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 22.2% | 34.5% | +12.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 8.6% | 16.7% | +8.1 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 15.5% | 7.6% | −7.8 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 36.3% | 43.6% | +7.3 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 88.2% | 81.3% | −6.9 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores Second Round | 27.5% | 20.8% | −6.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores Second Round | 15.3% | 21.8% | +6.5 |
