Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Grêmio with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 67.7% | 51.5% | −16.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 31.0% | 16.1% | −14.8 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 77.4% | 64.0% | −13.4 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 12.5% | 24.3% | +11.8 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 36.2% | 47.9% | +11.7 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 63.7% | 74.2% | +10.4 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 10.1% | 19.2% | +9.1 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 13.3% | 19.8% | +6.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 13.7% | 7.5% | −6.2 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 9.3% | 3.7% | −5.6 |
