Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Ponte Preta with a 16.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 6 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 32.2% | 18.2% | −13.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 20.9% | 31.0% | +10.1 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 71.2% | 63.7% | −7.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 17.8% | 24.8% | +7.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 19.4% | 12.5% | −6.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 80.3% | 86.3% | +6.0 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores Second Round | 9.3% | 14.3% | +5.0 |
| Santos | Libertadores Second Round | 7.9% | 11.9% | +3.9 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 6.4% | 10.1% | +3.7 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 19.5% | 16.2% | −3.3 |
