Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Fluminense with a 23.9% chance, Ponte Preta beat Goiás with a 21.3% chance, Avaí beat Figueirense with a 20.5% chance, and Coritiba beat Flamengo with a 19.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 13 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Relegation | 47.9% | 28.1% | −19.8 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 64.0% | 45.2% | −18.8 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 51.5% | 69.1% | +17.6 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 40.4% | 58.0% | +17.5 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 22.7% | 37.6% | +14.9 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 19.2% | 9.5% | −9.7 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 24.3% | 14.9% | −9.4 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 16.1% | 7.4% | −8.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 9.2% | 15.7% | +6.5 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores Second Round | 8.4% | 14.2% | +5.7 |
