Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Fluminense with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 4 (before the first match) against those on September 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Relegation | 53.2% | 34.1% | −19.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 62.3% | 74.5% | +12.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 71.3% | 80.3% | +9.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 19.5% | 10.9% | −8.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 59.3% | 67.5% | +8.2 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 25.5% | 32.2% | +6.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 14.0% | 7.3% | −6.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 13.9% | 19.5% | +5.6 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 76.7% | 71.2% | −5.5 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 27.9% | 33.4% | +5.5 |
