Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Atletico-MG with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 44.2% | 59.3% | +15.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 24.5% | 12.4% | −12.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 25.6% | 14.0% | −11.6 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 37.1% | 25.5% | −11.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 82.8% | 71.3% | −11.4 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 18.3% | 27.9% | +9.6 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 67.2% | 76.7% | +9.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 11.2% | 19.5% | +8.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 15.7% | 22.6% | +6.9 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 56.0% | 62.3% | +6.3 |
