Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Sport with a 20.4% chance and Santos beat Cruzeiro with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 23 (before the first match) against those on August 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Relegation | 69.0% | 56.0% | −13.0 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 30.1% | 18.3% | −11.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 72.1% | 82.8% | +10.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 54.9% | 44.2% | −10.6 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 21.5% | 11.8% | −9.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 17.3% | 25.6% | +8.3 |
| Joinville | Relegation | 62.9% | 70.6% | +7.7 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 29.4% | 37.1% | +7.7 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 11.3% | 4.3% | −7.0 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 60.1% | 67.2% | +7.0 |
