Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Goiás with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 19 (before the first match) against those on July 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Relegation | 20.7% | 9.7% | −10.9 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 29.9% | 40.1% | +10.2 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 36.6% | 27.0% | −9.6 |
| Santos | Relegation | 25.7% | 16.8% | −8.9 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 19.4% | 28.2% | +8.8 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 75.0% | 81.6% | +6.6 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 13.1% | 6.7% | −6.4 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 26.9% | 33.0% | +6.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 31.2% | 36.8% | +5.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 31.4% | 26.0% | −5.4 |
