Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Palmeiras with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 26 (before the first match) against those on August 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 29.5% | 19.1% | −10.4 |
| Joinville | Relegation | 82.3% | 72.3% | −10.0 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 28.2% | 18.6% | −9.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 57.6% | 66.6% | +9.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 33.0% | 24.3% | −8.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 70.9% | 79.3% | +8.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 14.1% | 22.1% | +8.0 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 39.1% | 46.6% | +7.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 36.8% | 43.8% | +7.0 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 27.0% | 33.9% | +7.0 |
