Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Fluminense with a 11.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 12 (before the first match) against those on July 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 49.4% | 36.6% | −12.8 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 86.3% | 75.0% | −11.2 |
| Sport | Libertadores | 21.3% | 32.5% | +11.1 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 50.8% | 61.2% | +10.3 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 18.4% | 26.1% | +7.6 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 28.2% | 20.7% | −7.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 34.1% | 26.9% | −7.2 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 16.4% | 10.2% | −6.2 |
| Santos | Relegation | 19.9% | 25.7% | +5.8 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 24.7% | 29.9% | +5.3 |
