Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat São Paulo with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 25 (before the first match) against those on September 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 54.6% | 32.3% | −22.3 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 36.2% | 22.9% | −13.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 27.5% | 39.9% | +12.4 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 24.9% | 13.2% | −11.7 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 22.5% | 33.0% | +10.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 15.7% | 7.7% | −7.9 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 18.4% | 10.7% | −7.7 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 58.8% | 65.9% | +7.1 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 49.6% | 56.0% | +6.4 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 59.9% | 66.0% | +6.2 |
